Hoogeveen vs Hollandia: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Bentinckspark (vv Hoogeveen), Hoogeveen
The Footlab model makes Hoogeveen the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Hollandia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoogeveen vs Hollandia?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hoogeveen (1,710) and Hollandia (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoogeveen have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hollandia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Huizen(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ACV(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 7, 2026 | HBC(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | HBC(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 30, 2026 | Huizen(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Hoogeveen score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hollandia score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoogeveen | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Hollandia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoogeveen sit 7th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Hollandia sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hoogeveen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoogeveen vs Hollandia?
- The Footlab model makes Hoogeveen the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Hollandia.
- Where and when is Hoogeveen vs Hollandia played?
- Hoogeveen vs Hollandia is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Bentinckspark (vv Hoogeveen), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.