Poortugaal vs FC Lisse: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, Poortugaal
The Footlab model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Poortugaal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poortugaal vs FC Lisse?
FC Lisse starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Poortugaal have 2 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; FC Lisse have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2025 | TEC(away) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Jun 4, 2025 | FC 's-Gravenzande(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 31, 2025 | FC 's-Gravenzande(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aalsmeer(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Poortugaal score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 7; FC Lisse score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poortugaal | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0 | 5/7 | 6/7 |
| FC Lisse | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poortugaal sit 8th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Lisse sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Lisse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Poortugaal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poortugaal vs FC Lisse?
- The Footlab model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Poortugaal.
- Where and when is Poortugaal vs FC Lisse played?
- Poortugaal vs FC Lisse is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.