Purmersteijn vs DVS 33 Ermelo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Purmersteijn, Purmerend
The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Purmersteijn wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Purmersteijn vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Purmersteijn (1,753) and DVS 33 Ermelo (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Purmersteijn vs DVS 33 Ermelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Purmersteijn
Not enough data to predict the Purmersteijn lineup.
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 7J. van Essen
- 11B. Roemeon
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 15T. van Diermen
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Purmersteijn have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; DVS 33 Ermelo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hollandia(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Purmersteijn score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purmersteijn | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Purmersteijn sit 8th in Derde Divisie (15 points from 9 matches) and DVS 33 Ermelo sit 13th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 15 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Purmersteijn vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Purmersteijn vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is Purmersteijn vs DVS 33 Ermelo played?
- Purmersteijn vs DVS 33 Ermelo is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Purmersteijn, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.