Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Weston-super-Mare (1,834) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Weston-super-Mare win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Weston-super-Mare | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsMaidenhead
- Feb 13, 2027TorquayvsWalton & Hersham
- Feb 13, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsTruro City
- Feb 13, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsBraintree
- Feb 13, 2027Slough TownvsMaidstone Utd
- Feb 13, 2027Chelmsford CityvsAFC Totton
- Feb 13, 2027Folkestone InvictavsChesham United
- Feb 13, 2027HorshamvsFarnborough