Where and when is Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels played?

Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

Horsham

Tonbridge Angels

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Horsham (1,816) and Tonbridge Angels (1,771).

Horsham win42 %

Draw28 %

Tonbridge Angels win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hampton & Richmond(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Salisbury(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Torquay(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Tonbridge Angels
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Dover(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Torquay(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Braintree(away)	4-0	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Horsham win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tonbridge Angels win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Horsham 0-1 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Oct 18, 2025	Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Horsham	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Horsham	1.2	1.2	5	5/15	7/15
Tonbridge Angels	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Horsham	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
9	Tonbridge Angels	4	2	0	2	6	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels?: The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Tonbridge Angels.
Where and when is Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels played?: Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.