Match

Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

HorshamHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Horsham (1,821) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).

Horsham win38 %
Draw29 %
Hemel Hempstead Town win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Horsham 2-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Dec 13, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HorshamFA Trophy
Nov 22, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HorshamNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Horsham1.21.255/157/15
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Horsham and Hemel Hempstead Town

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