Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Horsham the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Horsham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,626 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Horsham (1,809) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Hemel Hempstead Town
4-3-3- 16I. Noel-Williams
- 10Joseph White
- 23Trae Cook
- 7G. Williams
- 12Kyran Wiltshire
- 20Mauro Vilhete
- 3D. Dowrich
- 2Samuel Adenola
- 22Devante Stanley
- 15Mathew Achuba
- 1M. Johnson
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Horsham wins, 1 draw, 0 Hemel Hempstead Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Horsham 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 Horsham | FA Trophy |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Horsham | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Horsham score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Horsham sit 10th in National League - South (22 points from 15 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Horsham | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 22 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Horsham the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsChelmsford City
- Jan 2, 2027TorquayvsFarnborough
- Jan 2, 2027DovervsMaidstone Utd
- Jan 2, 2027BraintreevsEbbsfleet United
- Jan 2, 2027MaidenheadvsSalisbury
- Jan 2, 2027Billericay TownvsFolkestone Invicta
- Jan 2, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsTonbridge Angels
- Jan 2, 2027Weston-super-MarevsSlough Town