Horsham vs Torquay: prediction and stats
FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torquay wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horsham vs Torquay?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Horsham (1,808) and Torquay (1,859).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Horsham vs Torquay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Torquay have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Horsham win, 1 draw, 2 Torquay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay 1-1 Horsham | National League - South |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Torquay 2-0 Horsham | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Horsham 2-1 Torquay | National League - South |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Torquay 2-0 Horsham | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Horsham score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Torquay | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Horsham vs Torquay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Torquay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Horsham vs Torquay played?
- Horsham vs Torquay is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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