Houtvenne vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oosterzonen, Westerlo
The Footlab AI model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Houtvenne wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Houtvenne (1,902) and Merelbeke (1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Houtvenne vs Merelbeke
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Houtvenne
Not enough data to predict the Houtvenne lineup.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houtvenne have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Merelbeke have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Houtvenne win, 0 draws, 1 Merelbeke win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merelbeke 2-1 Houtvenne | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Houtvenne 3-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Merelbeke vs Houtvenne on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Houtvenne score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houtvenne | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Houtvenne sit 12th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 12 matches) and Merelbeke sit 14th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab AI model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Houtvenne vs Merelbeke played?
- Houtvenne vs Merelbeke is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oosterzonen, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.