Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Thes Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Katteberg, Bilzen
The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Thes Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Thes Sport?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,898) and Thes Sport (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Thes Sport have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Spouwen-Mopertingen win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Thes Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 3-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Thes Sport 1-1 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Thes Sport 0-0 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Thes Sport on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st in First Amateur Division (25 points from 13 matches) and Thes Sport sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Thes Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Thes Sport.
- Where and when is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Thes Sport played?
- Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Thes Sport is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Katteberg, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.