Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek
The Footlab AI model makes Vukovar the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Dubrava Zagreb. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vukovar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Vukovar (1,712) and Dubrava Zagreb (1,614).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vukovar
4-3-3- 9F. Petkovic
- 25Rai
- 18N. Pajvancic
- 6D. Stranput
- 8Ugosinho
- 20S. Dias Semedo
- 4D. Pavlek
- 5Krešimir Vrbanac
- 2L. Brodersen
- 21G. Pineda
- 1Adrian Hrvojevic
Dubrava Zagreb
4-3-3- 9H. Alghoul
- 6S. Ibrahim
- 7F. Jazvić
- 10M. Fintić
- 14M. Vrdoljak
- 8M. Tunjić
- 2J. Palić
- 19Boluwatife Olabige
- 4M. Novak-Stanko
- 3N. Radujkovic
- 30J. CundekoviÄ
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vukovar have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dubrava Zagreb have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hrvace(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Opatija(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jadran LP(home) | 2-3 | First NL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Croatia Zmijavci(away) | 3-2 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orijent 1919(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(away) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hrvace(away) | 0-0 | First NL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Opatija(home) | 2-1 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Vukovar wins, 1 draw, 0 Dubrava Zagreb wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Vukovar 2-1 Dubrava Zagreb | First NL |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Vukovar 1-0 Dubrava Zagreb | First NL |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 Vukovar | First NL |
| May 11, 2024 | Vukovar 3-1 Dubrava Zagreb | First NL |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 Vukovar | First NL |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Vukovar 2-2 Dubrava Zagreb | First NL |
Last archived meeting: Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vukovar score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dubrava Zagreb score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vukovar | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Dubrava Zagreb | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vukovar sit 10th in First NL (11 points from 8 matches) and Dubrava Zagreb sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vukovar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 14 | Dubrava Zagreb | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vukovar the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Dubrava Zagreb.
- Where and when is Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb played?
- Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gradski vrt, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.