Jadran LP vs Dugopolje: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC)Igralište NK Jadran, Ploče
The Footlab AI model makes Jadran LP the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Dugopolje. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jadran LP wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
Jadran LP starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,617).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jadran LP vs Dugopolje
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jadran LP
4-3-3- 77L. Petrovic
- 16I. Milicevic
- 9N. Maric
- 10M. Maric
- 11L. Matanovic
- 47R. Zilic
- 2L. Miletić
- 23Patrik Zrnic
- 6D. Karacic
- 19T. Herceg
- 1I. Kesina
Dugopolje
4-3-3- 7B. Zdunić
- 28L. Perić
- 19Brice Ghussein
- 22M. Karabatić
- 20J. Vuković
- 17S. Musura
- 4R. Kurtović
- 3A. Gagula
- 24F. Shatri
- 25Haris Kozarac
- 1B. Buljan
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jadran LP have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Dugopolje have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sesvete(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kustosija(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vukovar(away) | 3-2 | First NL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Orijent 1919(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Croatia Zmijavci(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | HNK Cibalia(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb U21(home) | 3-2 | First NL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Segesta Sisak(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(home) | 0-0 | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Jadran LP score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dugopolje score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadran LP | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Dugopolje | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jadran LP sit 2nd in First NL (15 points from 8 matches) and Dugopolje sit 12th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jadran LP | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Dugopolje | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jadran LP the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Dugopolje.
- Where and when is Jadran LP vs Dugopolje played?
- Jadran LP vs Dugopolje is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC) at Igralište NK Jadran, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.