Huddersfield vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)John Smith's Stadium, Huddersfield, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Huddersfield the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Rochdale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huddersfield vs Rochdale?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Huddersfield (1,855) and Rochdale (1,890).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huddersfield have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Rochdale have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Huddersfield win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Rochdale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2020 | Huddersfield 0-1 Rochdale | League Cup |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Rochdale 0-4 Huddersfield | FA Cup |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Huddersfield 2-2 Rochdale | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Rochdale 2-2 Huddersfield | League One |
Last archived meeting: Huddersfield vs Rochdale on Sep 5, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Huddersfield score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huddersfield vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab model makes Huddersfield the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Rochdale.
- Where and when is Huddersfield vs Rochdale played?
- Huddersfield vs Rochdale is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at John Smith's Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.