Rochdale vs Doncaster: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 8Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Doncaster. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Doncaster?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Rochdale (1,876) and Doncaster (1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Doncaster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 7C. Hayes
- 8H. Gilmour
- 17B. Adeeko
- 45G. Middleton
- 14E. Francis
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 44A. Flint
- 2C. Tasker
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Doncaster
4-2-3-1- 9B. Hanlan
- 22R. Gotts
- 4O. Bailey
- 11L. Ayinde
- 21I. Hutchinson
- 47H. Adelakun
- 12N. Byrne
- 27S. Grehan
- 23J. Senior
- 2J. Sterry
- 1Tommy Simkin
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 10:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Doncaster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rochdale wins, 2 draws, 4 Doncaster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | Doncaster 4-3 Rochdale | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Rochdale 1-2 Doncaster | League Two |
| May 1, 2021 | Rochdale 1-2 Doncaster | League One |
| Jan 19, 2021 | Doncaster 1-0 Rochdale | League One |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Doncaster 1-1 Rochdale | League One |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Rochdale 1-1 Doncaster | League One |
Last archived meeting: Doncaster vs Rochdale on Dec 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Doncaster | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doncaster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
A question about Rochdale vs Doncaster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Doncaster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Doncaster.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Doncaster played?
- Rochdale vs Doncaster is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.