Rochdale vs Liverpool U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Rochdale the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Liverpool U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Liverpool U21?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Rochdale (1,890) and Liverpool U21 (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Liverpool U21 have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Everton U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(home) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 2-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-5 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Rochdale win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Liverpool U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2022 | Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Rochdale 4-0 Liverpool U21 | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 on Sep 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool U21 score 2.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Liverpool U21 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Liverpool U21?
- The Footlab model makes Rochdale the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Liverpool U21.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 played?
- Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.