Doncaster vs Liverpool U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Doncaster the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Liverpool U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doncaster vs Liverpool U21?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Doncaster (1,813) and Liverpool U21 (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doncaster have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Liverpool U21 have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Everton U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(home) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 2-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-5 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
How many goals should we expect?
Doncaster score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool U21 score 2.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Liverpool U21 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Doncaster sit 1st in EFL Trophy (9 points from 3 matches) and Liverpool U21 sit 4th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doncaster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doncaster vs Liverpool U21?
- The Footlab model makes Doncaster the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Liverpool U21.
- Where and when is Doncaster vs Liverpool U21 played?
- Doncaster vs Liverpool U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Eco-Power Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.