Huétor Vega vs Almería II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Viñas, Huétor Vega
The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huétor Vega vs Almería II?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Huétor Vega (1,759) and Almería II (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huétor Vega have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Almería II have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Martos(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Huétor Vega win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Almería II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Huétor Vega 0-1 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Almería II 1-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Almería II 0-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Huétor Vega 3-2 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Huétor Vega 2-2 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Almería II 1-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Almería II on Mar 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Almería II | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Huétor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huétor Vega vs Almería II?
- The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Almería II.
- Where and when is Huétor Vega vs Almería II played?
- Huétor Vega vs Almería II is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 13, 2026Mancha RealvsMotril
- Dec 13, 2026AlhaurinovsCantoria
- Dec 13, 2026Torre del MarvsGranada II
- Dec 13, 2026UD San PedrovsAtlético Porcuna
- Dec 13, 2026Arenas ArmillavsMelilla
- Dec 13, 2026Malaga CityvsMálaga II
- Dec 13, 2026Atletico de MarbellavsMarbelli