Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Atletico de Marbella, 35% for a draw, 33% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Atletico de Marbella (1,720) and Marbelli (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico de Marbella
Not enough data to predict the Atletico de Marbella lineup.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Atletico de Marbella have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Marbelli have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico de Marbella score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 9; Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico de Marbella | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 4/9 | 3/9 |
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico de Marbella sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (7 points from 9 matches) and Marbelli sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Marbelli | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Atletico de Marbella, 35% for a draw, 33% for Marbelli.
- Where and when is Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli played?
- Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.