Match

Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Atletico de MarbellaMarbelli

The Footlab model makes Atletico de Marbella the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli?

Atletico de Marbella win41 %
Draw32 %
Marbelli win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Atletico de Marbella have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Marbelli have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbelli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Granada II(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Huétor Vega(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026Huétor Tájar(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026UD Melilla II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Marbelli3414911362851

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli?
The Footlab model makes Atletico de Marbella the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Marbelli.
Where and when is Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli played?
Atletico de Marbella vs Marbelli is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atletico de Marbella and Marbelli

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