Match

Malaga City vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos

Malaga CityMálaga II

The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Málaga II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,524 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malaga City vs Málaga II?

Málaga II starts as the favourite with a 269-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,542).

26%29%45%
Malaga City winDrawMálaga II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Malaga City vs Málaga II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Malaga City

4-3-3
  1. JJuanfran
  2. RR. Gómez
  3. JJosu Ozkoidi
  1. ÓÓscar Puente
  2. FF. Irisarri
  3. AAndrés del Río
  1. 2Chechu
  2. RRaúl Fernández Ortega
  3. JJuanjo
  4. AAntonio Contreras Lozano
  1. FFernando Padilla

Málaga II

4-3-3
  1. JJuani
  2. JJuanma Hernández
  3. RRubén Sánchez
  1. 32Rafael Garrido
  2. 44Jesús Martin
  3. AAlejandro Valcarce
  1. 38Pablo Arriaza
  2. 32Miguel Ángel
  3. IIván Benito Mancera
  4. ÁÁngel Mateo
  1. 30Andrés Céspedes

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 01:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Málaga II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malaga City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Huétor Vega(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Mancha Real(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Marbelli(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Málaga II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Melilla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Motril(away)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Churriana Vega(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Almería II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 3, 2026Granada II(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Malaga City win, 2 draws, 3 Málaga II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2025Malaga City 1-1 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 24, 2024Málaga II 3-0 Malaga CityTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Mar 30, 2024Málaga II 3-0 Malaga CityTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 11, 2023Malaga City 1-3 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 12, 2023Malaga City 1-0 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 16, 2022Málaga II 1-1 Malaga CityTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Málaga II on Apr 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Malaga City score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malaga City1.12.3010/1510/15
Málaga II1.91.7211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malaga City sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (0 points from 9 matches) and Málaga II sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Málaga II9432191115
18Malaga City90096230

A question about Malaga City vs Málaga II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malaga City vs Málaga II?
The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Malaga City.
Where and when is Malaga City vs Málaga II played?
Malaga City vs Málaga II is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Malaga City and Málaga II

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