Where and when is Malaga City vs Málaga II played?

Malaga City vs Málaga II is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Malaga City vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos

Malaga City

Málaga II

The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malaga City vs Málaga II?

Málaga II starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,593).

Malaga City win33 %

Draw30 %

Málaga II win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malaga City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Arenas Armilla(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 4, 2025	Polideportivo Almería(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 1, 2025	Real Jaén(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 27, 2025	Mancha Real(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2025	Mijas Las Lagunas(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Malaga City win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Málaga II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 6, 2025	Malaga City 1-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 24, 2024	Málaga II 3-0 Malaga City	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Mar 30, 2024	Málaga II 3-0 Malaga City	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 11, 2023	Malaga City 1-3 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 12, 2023	Malaga City 1-0 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 16, 2022	Málaga II 1-1 Malaga City	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Málaga II on Apr 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Malaga City	1.0	2.0	0	8/15	10/15
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malaga City vs Málaga II?: The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Malaga City.
Where and when is Malaga City vs Málaga II played?: Malaga City vs Málaga II is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.