Georgia vs Hungary: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League5Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, Kutaisi
The Footlab AI model makes Georgia the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Hungary. The most likely score is 1-1. If Georgia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Georgia vs Hungary?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Georgia (1,534) and Hungary (1,594).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Georgia vs Hungary
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Georgia
4-2-3-1- 22G. Mikautadze
- 7K. Kvaratskhelia
- 6G. Kochorashvili
- 14A. Mekvabishvili
- 8O. Kiteishvili
- 10G. Chakvetadze
- 4L. Lochoshvili
- 3L. Dvali
- 2O. Kakabadze
- 5S. Goglichidze
- 1G. Mamardashvili
Hungary
4-2-3-1- 16D. Lukacs
- 10D. Szoboszlai
- 13A. Schäfer
- 21A. Tóth
- 8M. Vitális
- 15Á. Csongvai
- 6W. Orbán
- 3M. Csinger
- 2A. Osváth
- 18Z. Nagy
- 1B. Tóth
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Georgia have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Hungary have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Hungary(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Ukraine(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Northern Ireland(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Bahrain(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Ukraine(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Georgia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ukraine(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kazakhstan(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Georgia wins, 0 draws, 1 Hungary win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Hungary 1-0 Georgia | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Georgia score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hungary score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Hungary | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Georgia sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (2 points from 4 matches) and Hungary sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
A question about Georgia vs Hungary?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Georgia vs Hungary?
- The Footlab AI model makes Georgia the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Hungary.
- Where and when is Georgia vs Hungary played?
- Georgia vs Hungary is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.