Hutnik Kraków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Suche Stawy, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hutnik Kraków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hutnik Kraków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hutnik Kraków have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Hutnik Kraków score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hutnik Kraków | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hutnik Kraków sit 1st in II Liga - East (11 points from 5 matches) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hutnik Kraków | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hutnik Kraków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hutnik Kraków.
- Where and when is Hutnik Kraków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz played?
- Hutnik Kraków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Suche Stawy, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Sep 12, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsSokół Kleczew
- Sep 12, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsLegia Warszawa II
- Sep 12, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Sep 12, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsTychy 71
- Sep 12, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Sep 12, 2026Świt SkolwinvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Sep 12, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsRekord Bielsko-Biała