Świt Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Skolwin, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Świt Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
Chojniczanka Chojnice starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Świt Skolwin have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Chojniczanka Chojnice have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 0-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(away) | 3-5 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 2-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Świt Skolwin win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Chojniczanka Chojnice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1 Świt Skolwin | II Liga - East |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-1 Świt Skolwin | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Świt Skolwin 2-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice | II Liga - East |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 5-3 Świt Skolwin | II Liga - East |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Świt Skolwin 1-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice | II Liga - East |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 Świt Skolwin | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Świt Skolwin on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chojniczanka Chojnice score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Świt Skolwin | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Świt Skolwin sit 18th in II Liga - East (1 points from 5 matches) and Chojniczanka Chojnice sit 14th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Świt Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
- The Footlab model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Świt Skolwin.
- Where and when is Świt Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice played?
- Świt Skolwin vs Chojniczanka Chojnice is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Skolwin, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Sep 12, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsSokół Kleczew
- Sep 12, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsLegia Warszawa II
- Sep 12, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Sep 12, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Sep 12, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsTychy 71
- Sep 12, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Sep 12, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsRekord Bielsko-Biała