Górnik Łęczna vs Legia Warszawa II: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa II the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Legia Warszawa II?
Legia Warszawa II starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Legia Warszawa II have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Górnik Łęczna win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Legia Warszawa II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | Górnik Łęczna 0-1 Legia Warszawa II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Legia Warszawa II on Nov 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa II score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Legia Warszawa II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Legia Warszawa II sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Legia Warszawa II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Legia Warszawa II?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa II the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Legia Warszawa II played?
- Górnik Łęczna vs Legia Warszawa II is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Sep 12, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsSokół Kleczew
- Sep 12, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Sep 12, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Sep 12, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsTychy 71
- Sep 12, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Sep 12, 2026Świt SkolwinvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Sep 12, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsRekord Bielsko-Biała