Avia Świdnik vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Świdnik, Świdnik
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avia Świdnik have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Rekord Bielsko-Biała have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(away) | 0-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(home) | 3-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rekord Bielsko-Biała score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avia Świdnik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avia Świdnik sit 5th in II Liga - East (9 points from 5 matches) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Avia Świdnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avia Świdnik vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
- The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
- Where and when is Avia Świdnik vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała played?
- Avia Świdnik vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Świdnik, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 12, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsTychy 71
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