Iceland vs Bulgaria: result 3-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 3Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
Full time
What was the result of Iceland vs Bulgaria?
Iceland won 3-0 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′O. ÓskarssonIceland
- 60′O. ÓskarssonIceland
- 90′M. EllertssonIceland
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Iceland win at 66%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 3-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Iceland vs Bulgaria
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Iceland
4-4-1-1- 9O. Óskarsson
- 7H. Haraldsson
- 11J. Þorsteinsson
- 8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
- 6A. Baldursson
- 21A. Sigurðsson
- 19M. Ellertsson
- 23H. Magnússon
- 17A. Gunnarsson
- 18M. Anderson
- 12H. Valdimarsson
Bulgaria
4-4-1-1- 9A. Iliev
- 14A. Chandarov
- 11G. Rusev
- 4I. Gruev
- 8A. Kraev
- 20L. Petkov
- 21D. Velkovski
- 13S. Velkov
- 5K. Dimitrov
- 19I. Turitsov
- 1D. Naumov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iceland have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bulgaria have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Luxembourg(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Japan(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Haiti(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Luxembourg(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Moldova(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Indonesia(away) | 1-0 | FIFA Series |
How many goals should we expect?
Iceland score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bulgaria score 1.3 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bulgaria | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iceland sit 1st in UEFA Nations League (8 points from 4 matches) and Bulgaria sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Iceland vs Bulgaria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy