Finland vs Albania: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 3Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Helsingin olympiastadion, Helsingfors
Full time
What was the result of Finland vs Albania?
Finland won 2-1 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′R. ManajAlbania
- 26′L. WaltaFinland
- 71′L. WaltaFinland
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Finland win at 40%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Finland vs Albania
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Finland
4-3-3- 22D. Håkans
- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 9A. Svanbäck
- 10L. Walta
- 11A. Marhiev
- 14K. Kairinen
- 13J. Lähteenmäki
- 5S. Miettinen
- 4T. Miettinen
- 3A. Ståhl
- 1L. Hrádecký
Albania
3-4-3- 21A. Hoxha
- 7R. Manaj
- 10E. Muçi
- 22S. Pilios
- 8K. Asllani
- 20Y. Ramadani
- 4E. Hysaj
- 3M. Mitaj
- 6B. Djimsiti
- 18A. Ismajli
- 1E. Berisha
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finland have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Albania have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Belarus(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Marino(away) | 7-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Hungary(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Germany(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 1-1 | FIFA Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | San Marino(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Belarus(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Israel(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ukraine(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Finland score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Albania score 1.2 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Albania | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finland sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Albania sit 1st (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Finland vs Albania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy