IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs FK: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 19Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tingvalla IP, Karlstad
The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad II the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vänersborgs FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs FK?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate IF Karlstad II (1,351) and Vänersborgs FK (1,373).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Karlstad II have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Vänersborgs FK have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Motala(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lidköping(home) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ahlafors(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grebbestad(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | IFK Skövde(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Skara(away) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Herrestads(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Motala(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 IF Karlstad II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Vänersborgs FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK 3-2 IF Karlstad II | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Vänersborgs FK 3-1 IF Karlstad II | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2021 | IF Karlstad II 2-4 Vänersborgs FK | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Sep 27, 2020 | IF Karlstad II 3-5 Vänersborgs FK | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Vänersborgs FK vs IF Karlstad II on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Karlstad II score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vänersborgs FK score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad II | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Vänersborgs FK | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Karlstad II sit 11th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (10 points from 12 matches) and Vänersborgs FK sit 10th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vänersborgs FK | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | Vänersborgs FK | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 19 |
| 11 | IF Karlstad II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs FK?
- The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad II the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vänersborgs FK.
- Where and when is IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs FK played?
- IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs FK is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tingvalla IP, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.