Stenungsund vs Herrestads: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 19Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Olssons Trävaror Arena, Stenungsund
The Footlab model makes Stenungsund the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Herrestads. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stenungsund vs Herrestads?
Herrestads starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,400).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stenungsund have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Herrestads have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kumla(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lidköping(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Skara(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Trollhättan(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tord(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(away) | 4-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skara(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stenungsund win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Herrestads win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Herrestads 4-0 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Herrestads 2-0 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Stenungsund 4-1 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Herrestads 2-1 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Stenungsund 0-2 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Herrestads 2-2 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Herrestads vs Stenungsund on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stenungsund score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Herrestads score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenungsund | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Herrestads | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stenungsund sit 6th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (18 points from 13 matches) and Herrestads sit 8th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stenungsund | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 18 |
| 6 | Herrestads | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 33 | 27 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Herrestads | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stenungsund vs Herrestads?
- The Footlab model makes Stenungsund the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Herrestads.
- Where and when is Stenungsund vs Herrestads played?
- Stenungsund vs Herrestads is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Olssons Trävaror Arena, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.