Ilbirs vs Toktogul: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Futboln'yi Centr FFKR, Bishkek
The Footlab AI model makes Ilbirs the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Toktogul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilbirs wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilbirs vs Toktogul?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Ilbirs (1,361) and Toktogul (1,390).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilbirs vs Toktogul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilbirs
Not enough data to predict the Ilbirs lineup.
Toktogul
Not enough data to predict the Toktogul lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 03:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilbirs have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Toktogul have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kara-Balta(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alga(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Bars(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bishkek City(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bars(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Abdish-Ata(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Asia Talas(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Talant(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ilbirs wins, 0 draws, 1 Toktogul win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Toktogul 3-2 Ilbirs | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilbirs score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toktogul score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilbirs | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Toktogul | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilbirs sit 12th in Premier League (29 points from 27 matches) and Toktogul sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Toktogul | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 40 | 31 |
| 12 | Ilbirs | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 29 |
A question about Ilbirs vs Toktogul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilbirs vs Toktogul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilbirs the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Toktogul.
- Where and when is Ilbirs vs Toktogul played?
- Ilbirs vs Toktogul is played on November 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Futboln'yi Centr FFKR, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.