Ozgon vs Kara-Balta: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ozgon the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Kara-Balta. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ozgon vs Kara-Balta?
Ozgon is a heavy favourite: 1,553 Elo points against 1,206, a 347-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ozgon vs Kara-Balta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ozgon
Not enough data to predict the Ozgon lineup.
Kara-Balta
Not enough data to predict the Kara-Balta lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ozgon have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Kara-Balta have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Alga(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Asia Talas(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Asiagoal(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Bars(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ilbirs(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bishkek City(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Alga(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Asia Talas(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Ozgon wins, 0 draws, 0 Kara-Balta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Kara-Balta 1-2 Ozgon | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Kara-Balta 0-4 Ozgon | Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Ozgon 3-0 Kara-Balta | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ozgon score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kara-Balta score 0.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozgon | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kara-Balta | 0.8 | 2.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ozgon sit 3rd in Premier League (54 points from 27 matches) and Kara-Balta sit 16th (10 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ozgon | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 54 |
| 16 | Kara-Balta | 27 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 70 | 10 |
A question about Ozgon vs Kara-Balta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ozgon vs Kara-Balta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ozgon the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Kara-Balta.
- Where and when is Ozgon vs Kara-Balta played?
- Ozgon vs Kara-Balta is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.