Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gainsborough Trinity wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,502 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Gainsborough Trinity starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilkeston Town
4-3-3- OO. Brown-Hill
- ZZ. Goodson
- JJ. Watts
- JJack Thomas
- JJ. Reid
- BBilly Bennett
- JJ. Maguire
- KK. Fenton
- AA. Troke
- RRyan Wilson
- RR. Durrant
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avro(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ilkeston Town win, 3 draws, 2 Gainsborough Trinity wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 3-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Ilkeston Town 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Ilkeston Town 2-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town on Oct 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilkeston Town score 0.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilkeston Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 15 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 4th (28 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 28 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 34 | 10 |
A question about Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ilkeston Town.
- Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Ilkeston Town vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.