Ilves vs Mariehamn: result 2-1 and analysis
VeikkausliigaRelegation Round - 3Kick-off on September 27, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ratinan Stadion, Tampere (Tammerfors)
Full time
What was the result of Ilves vs Mariehamn?
Ilves won 2-1 on September 27, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′D. Parfitt-WilliamsIlves
- 26′M. SumusaloMariehamn
- 85′S. HaaralaIlves
Official lineup for Ilves vs Mariehamn
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ilves
4-4-2- 7S. Ngor
- 29S. Haarala
- 42F. Aspegren
- 14E. Patut
- 15L. Ala-Myllymäki
- 30Y. Moussa
- 9D. Parfitt-Williams
- 5K. Katz
- 16T. Miettunen
- 22A. Mäenpää
- 1O. Virtanen
Mariehamn
5-3-2- 9Dé
- 10J. Hopcutt
- 17R. Sid
- 32J. van der Heyden
- 8A. Ngamba
- 23M. Sumusalo
- 44A. Ndom
- 2T. Lahti
- 13J. Coubronne
- 22A. Granlund
- 81E. Henriksson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilves have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mariehamn have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2023 | Kooteepee(away) | 3-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Haka(away) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Lahti(away) | 2-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Honka(away) | 0-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 23, 2023 | AC Oulu(home) | 1-0 | Suomen Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2023 | Haka(home) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | AC Oulu(away) | 2-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | VPS(home) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 26, 2023 | SJK(away) | 2-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Honka(away) | 0-1 | Suomen Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ilves wins, 2 draws, 1 Mariehamn win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Ilves 0-0 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Mariehamn 1-1 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Ilves 2-3 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Mariehamn 1-5 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| May 15, 2022 | Ilves 1-0 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilves score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mariehamn score 1.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Mariehamn | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilves sit 2nd in Veikkausliiga (35 points from 26 matches) and Mariehamn sit 6th (18 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 35 |
| 6 | Mariehamn | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 48 | 18 |
A question about Ilves vs Mariehamn?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy