Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima: result 2-2 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 3Kick-off on January 28, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Medellin and Deportes Tolima drew 2-2 on January 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 21′J. OrtizIndependiente Medellin
- 26′A. ParraDeportes Tolima
- 31′A. ParraDeportes Tolima
- 69′E. LarrosaIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Junior(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Junior(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Junior(away) | 0-3 | Primera A |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente Medellin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportes Tolima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 2-3 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 2-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 1-3 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| May 16, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 2-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin on Sep 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportes Tolima | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 6th (31 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 27, 2026Cucuta2-2Bucaramanga
- Jan 27, 2026Fortaleza FC1-1Llaneros
- Jan 28, 2026Alianza Valledupar1-1Chico
- Jan 28, 2026Santa Fe2-2Deportivo Pereira
- Jan 29, 2026Deportivo Pasto2-1Millonarios
- Jan 29, 2026Águilas Doradas2-1Deportivo Cali
- Jan 29, 2026Jaguares2-3Internacional de Bogota
- Jan 30, 2026America de Cali1-1Once Caldas