Where and when is Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin played?

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin is played on August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, Pereira

Deportivo Pereira

Independiente Medellin

The Footlab model makes Independiente Medellin the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin?

Independiente Medellin starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,619).

Deportivo Pereira win27 %

Draw29 %

Independiente Medellin win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Pereira
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 24, 2026	Llaneros(away)	0-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Jaguares(home)	1-0	Copa Colombia
May 21, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Copa Colombia

Independiente Medellin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Cucuta(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Vasco DA Gama(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	3-2	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportivo Pereira win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Independiente Medellin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Independiente Medellin 1-1 Deportivo Pereira	Primera A
Nov 7, 2025	Deportivo Pereira 1-4 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
May 20, 2025	Independiente Medellin 2-0 Deportivo Pereira	Primera A
Jul 23, 2024	Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
Jan 28, 2024	Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pereira	Primera A
Oct 22, 2023	Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pereira	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pereira	0.6	0.9	6	4/15	2/15
Independiente Medellin	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Pereira sit 20th in Primera A (10 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Independiente Medellin	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
16	Deportivo Pereira	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	10
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin?: The Footlab model makes Independiente Medellin the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Deportivo Pereira.
Where and when is Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin played?: Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin is played on August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.