Independiente Medellin vs Junior: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera AClausura - FinalsKick-off on December 16, 2018 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Junior?
Independiente Medellin won 3-1 on December 16, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 45′L. CastroIndependiente Medellin
- 55′L. CastroIndependiente Medellin
- 71′Y. GonzálezJunior
- 80′G. CanoIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Junior have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2018 | Junior(away) | 1-4 | Primera A |
| Nov 26, 2018 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 22, 2018 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Bucaramanga(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Bucaramanga(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2018 | Independiente Medellin(home) | 4-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Nov 23, 2018 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 3-2 | Primera A |
| Nov 19, 2018 | Internacional de Bogota(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Nov 16, 2018 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Independiente Medellin win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Junior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2018 | Junior 4-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Junior 2-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| May 21, 2018 | Independiente Medellin 2-2 Junior | Primera A |
| May 13, 2018 | Junior 0-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Mar 4, 2018 | Independiente Medellin 1-2 Junior | Primera A |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Independiente Medellin 1-2 Junior | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Junior vs Independiente Medellin on Dec 9, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Junior | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy