Where and when is New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven played?

New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, New Mexico

New Mexico United

Indy Eleven

The Footlab model makes New Mexico United the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Indy Eleven. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate New Mexico United (1,820) and Indy Eleven (1,738).

New Mexico United win56 %

Draw26 %

Indy Eleven win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New Mexico United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Indy Eleven have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New Mexico United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Loudoun United(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	FC Tulsa(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Monterey Bay(away)	5-2	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Jul 15, 2026	Lexington(away)	4-1	USL Championship

Indy Eleven
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Louisville City(home)	2-1	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Sporting JAX(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	San Antonio(away)	1-3	USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026	Loudoun United(home)	0-1	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 New Mexico United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Indy Eleven win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2024	Indy Eleven 1-3 New Mexico United	USL Championship
Sep 16, 2023	New Mexico United 3-2 Indy Eleven	USL Championship
May 28, 2022	Indy Eleven 1-2 New Mexico United	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Indy Eleven vs New Mexico United on Aug 11, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

New Mexico United score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Indy Eleven score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
New Mexico United	1.7	0.9	8	5/15	6/15
Indy Eleven	1.1	1.0	5	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New Mexico United sit 9th in USL Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and Indy Eleven sit 6th (18 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	New Mexico United	18	10	4	4	26	17	34
6	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16	12	18
6	Indy Eleven	19	8	4	7	23	22	28
9	New Mexico United	11	4	3	4	12	13	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?: The Footlab model makes New Mexico United the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Indy Eleven.
Where and when is New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven played?: New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.