Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
The Footlab model makes Indy Eleven the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Oakland Roots. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Indy Eleven (1,738) and Oakland Roots (1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Indy Eleven have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Oakland Roots have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Louisville City(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sporting JAX(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Antonio(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Loudoun United(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Antonio(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Monterey Bay(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Indy Eleven win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Oakland Roots win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Oakland Roots 2-1 Indy Eleven | USL Championship |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Indy Eleven 0-3 Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Oakland Roots vs Indy Eleven on Mar 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Indy Eleven score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Oakland Roots score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indy Eleven | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Oakland Roots | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Indy Eleven sit 6th in USL Championship (18 points from 11 matches) and Oakland Roots sit 4th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 28 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
- The Footlab model makes Indy Eleven the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Oakland Roots.
- Where and when is Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots played?
- Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots is played on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots