Match

Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

Indy ElevenOakland Roots

The Footlab model makes Indy Eleven the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Oakland Roots. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Indy Eleven (1,738) and Oakland Roots (1,642).

Indy Eleven win48 %
Draw27 %
Oakland Roots win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Indy Eleven have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Oakland Roots have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Indy Eleven
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Louisville City(home)2-1USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026Sporting JAX(away)1-0USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026Hartford Athletic(home)1-1USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026San Antonio(away)1-3USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026Loudoun United(home)0-1USL Championship
Oakland Roots
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Antonio(away)1-0USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Monterey Bay(home)1-1USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026El Paso Locomotive(away)0-1USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026Las Vegas Lights(away)0-0USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)0-1USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Indy Eleven win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Oakland Roots win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 10, 2024Oakland Roots 2-1 Indy ElevenUSL Championship
Apr 8, 2023Indy Eleven 0-3 Oakland RootsUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Oakland Roots vs Indy Eleven on Mar 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Indy Eleven score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Oakland Roots score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Indy Eleven1.11.056/155/15
Oakland Roots0.91.447/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Indy Eleven sit 6th in USL Championship (18 points from 11 matches) and Oakland Roots sit 4th (18 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Oakland Roots13463191718
6Indy Eleven11533161218
6Indy Eleven19847232228
10Oakland Roots22688273026

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
The Footlab model makes Indy Eleven the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Oakland Roots.
Where and when is Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots played?
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots is played on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots

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