İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Hatayspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 29Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl
The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Hatayspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Hatayspor?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik (1,678) and Hatayspor (1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Hatayspor have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Galata(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Serik Spor(away) | 2-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 4-0 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hatayspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 0-4 Hatayspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Hatayspor on Oct 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hatayspor | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Hatayspor?
- The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Hatayspor.
- Where and when is İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Hatayspor played?
- İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Hatayspor is played on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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