Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Adana Demirspor played?

Kastamonuspor vs Adana Demirspor is played on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kastamonuspor vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 29Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu

Kastamonuspor

Adana Demirspor

The Footlab model makes Kastamonuspor the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Kastamonuspor starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,463).

Kastamonuspor win62 %

Draw21 %

Adana Demirspor win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kastamonuspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muğlaspor(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Şanlıurfaspor(away)	2-5	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Karaman FK(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	0-4	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	1-2	2. Lig

Adana Demirspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	İstanbulspor(away)	1-8	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Ümraniyespor(home)	1-3	1. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Boluspor(away)	0-6	1. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Iğdır FK(home)	1-6	1. Lig
Apr 7, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	0-4	1. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kastamonuspor	0.7	1.8	2	7/15	6/15
Adana Demirspor	0.5	4.5	0	6/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	44	56	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Adana Demirspor?: The Footlab model makes Kastamonuspor the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Adana Demirspor played?: Kastamonuspor vs Adana Demirspor is played on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.