Sebat Gençlikspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 29Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Aliağa FAŞ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sebat Gençlikspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sebat Gençlikspor (1,755) and Aliağa FAŞ (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sebat Gençlikspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Çayelispor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebat Gençlikspor | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sebat Gençlikspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
- The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Aliağa FAŞ.
- Where and when is Sebat Gençlikspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?
- Sebat Gençlikspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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