Ingolstadt II vs Weiden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BZA Süd-Ost, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Weiden. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Weiden?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Ingolstadt II (1,779) and Weiden (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ingolstadt II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Weiden have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Ingolstadt II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Weiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Weiden 0-3 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 0-3 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Weiden 0-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 1-0 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Weiden vs Ingolstadt II on Nov 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ingolstadt II sit 7th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (48 points from 32 matches) and Weiden sit 6th (50 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ingolstadt II vs Weiden?
- The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Weiden.
- Where and when is Ingolstadt II vs Weiden played?
- Ingolstadt II vs Weiden is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BZA Süd-Ost, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsGebenbach
- Oct 23, 2026DJK BambergvsAmmerthal
- Oct 23, 2026ChamvsASV Neumarkt
- Oct 23, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsBayern Hof
- Oct 24, 2026Eintracht BambergvsKornburg
- Oct 24, 2026Würzburger FVvsStadeln
- Oct 24, 2026NordlingenvsFortuna Regensburg
- Oct 24, 2026GroßbardorfvsJahn Regensburg II