Match

Ingolstadt II vs Weiden: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BZA Süd-Ost, Ingolstadt

Ingolstadt IIWeiden

The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Weiden. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Weiden?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Ingolstadt II (1,779) and Weiden (1,748).

Ingolstadt II win46 %
Draw21 %
Weiden win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ingolstadt II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Weiden have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ingolstadt II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Großbardorf(away)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Nordlingen(away)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026Würzburger FV(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 8, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away)0-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 1, 2026Jahn Regensburg II(home)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Weiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayern Hof(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Kornburg(home)2-7Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Ammerthal(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026DJK Bamberg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Ingolstadt II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Weiden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2025Weiden 0-3 Ingolstadt IIOberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 19, 2025Ingolstadt II 0-3 WeidenOberliga - Bayern Nord
Nov 2, 2024Weiden 0-2 Ingolstadt IIOberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 26, 2024Ingolstadt II 1-0 WeidenOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Weiden vs Ingolstadt II on Nov 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ingolstadt II1.92.139/1513/15
Weiden1.71.9310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ingolstadt II sit 7th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (48 points from 32 matches) and Weiden sit 6th (50 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Weiden3213118573950
7Ingolstadt II3214712645448

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ingolstadt II vs Weiden?
The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Weiden.
Where and when is Ingolstadt II vs Weiden played?
Ingolstadt II vs Weiden is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BZA Süd-Ost, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ingolstadt II and Weiden

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