Inter vs AS Roma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab model makes Inter the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for AS Roma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter vs AS Roma?
Inter starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,298 vs 2,169).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; AS Roma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Monza(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Inter win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AS Roma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Inter 5-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2025 | AS Roma 0-1 Inter | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Inter 0-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2024 | AS Roma 0-1 Inter | Serie A |
| Feb 10, 2024 | AS Roma 2-4 Inter | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Inter 1-0 AS Roma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| AS Roma | 2.2 | 1.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter vs AS Roma?
- The Footlab model makes Inter the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for AS Roma.
- Where and when is Inter vs AS Roma played?
- Inter vs AS Roma is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.