Inter vs AS Roma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for AS Roma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inter wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter vs AS Roma?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Inter (2,232) and AS Roma (2,148).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter vs AS Roma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 94F. Esposito
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 20H. Çalhanoğlu
- 22H. Mkhitaryan
- 23N. Barella
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 95A. Bastoni
- 1Josep Martínez
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 14D. Malen
- 21P. Dybala
- 43Wesley
- 17M. Koné
- 20N. Molina
- 15M. de Roon
- 4B. Cristante
- 22Hermoso
- 23G. Mancini
- 5E. Ndicka
- 95P. Gollini
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; AS Roma have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Como(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inter wins, 1 draw, 1 AS Roma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma 2-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Inter 5-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2025 | AS Roma 0-1 Inter | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Inter 0-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2024 | AS Roma 0-1 Inter | Serie A |
| Feb 10, 2024 | AS Roma 2-4 Inter | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| AS Roma | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter sit 1st in Serie A (16 points from 6 matches) and AS Roma sit 3rd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
A question about Inter vs AS Roma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter vs AS Roma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for AS Roma.
- Where and when is Inter vs AS Roma played?
- Inter vs AS Roma is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.