Inverness CT vs Morton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Morton. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Morton?
Inverness CT starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,554).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inverness CT vs Morton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inverness CT
4-2-3-1- 9L. Stewart
- 7P. Allan
- 8A. Mackinnon
- 11L. Longstaff
- 16R. Duncan
- 35A. Stewart
- 4G. Shinnie
- 5Remmi Eugene Savage
- 2C. Macleod
- 15K. Smith
- 1R. Munro
Morton
4-2-3-1- 7M. Garrity
- 21G. Gillespie
- 20C. Sandilands
- 27I. Wilson
- 19Kerr Robertson
- 17Sahil Bashir
- 2C. Ballantyne
- 4Christopher Cupps
- 6C. Okike
- 3J. Longridge
- 1Elyh Harrison
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inverness CT have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Morton have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Raith Rovers(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inverness CT wins, 1 draw, 1 Morton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Inverness CT 2-0 Morton | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Morton 0-1 Inverness CT | League Cup |
| May 3, 2024 | Inverness CT 3-1 Morton | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Morton 0-2 Inverness CT | Championship |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Inverness CT 0-0 Morton | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Morton 2-1 Inverness CT | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Inverness CT vs Morton on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Morton score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Morton | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inverness CT sit 6th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Morton sit 10th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Inverness CT vs Morton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inverness CT vs Morton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inverness CT the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Morton.
- Where and when is Inverness CT vs Morton played?
- Inverness CT vs Morton is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.