Raith Rovers vs Livingston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Livingston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Raith Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Raith Rovers (1,768) and Livingston (1,745).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Raith Rovers vs Livingston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 11J. Robertson
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 19B. van Hoeven
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 16C. Palmer
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 5R. McGowan
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raith Rovers have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Livingston have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Raith Rovers win, 1 draw, 4 Livingston wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers 0-2 Livingston | Championship |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Livingston 0-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Raith Rovers 2-1 Livingston | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Raith Rovers 0-1 Livingston | Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Raith Rovers vs Livingston on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raith Rovers score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Livingston score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers | 1.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Livingston | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raith Rovers sit 3rd in Championship (20 points from 10 matches) and Livingston sit 4th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Livingston.
- Where and when is Raith Rovers vs Livingston played?
- Raith Rovers vs Livingston is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stark's Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.