Ipatinga vs São Caetano: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 29, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio João Lamego Neto, Ipatinga, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Ipatinga vs São Caetano?
São Caetano won 1-2 on July 29, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 26′Wellington BrunoIpatinga
- 74′Gabriel Valongo da SilvaSão Caetano
- 89′Allan DiasSão Caetano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Ipatinga have 1 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; São Caetano have 6, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | America-RN(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2012 | Joinville(away) | 0-6 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 17, 2012 | Ceara(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Joinville(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Parana(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ipatinga score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 12; São Caetano score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipatinga | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/12 | 8/12 |
| São Caetano | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/12 | 4/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy