Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, Beit She'an
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beit Shean have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hapoel Beit Shean 2-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-4 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Feb 9, 2018 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-0 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Sep 26, 2017 | Hapoel Beit Shean 1-2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Jan 20, 2017 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-1 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Hapoel Beit Shean 2-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th in Liga Alef (32 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?
- Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 30, 2026Ironi NeshervsBeitar Nahariya
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsTira
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek