Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,702 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 5-4 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th (21 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
- Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba played?
- Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Dec 19, 2026Beitar NahariyavsTira
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsIroni Nesher
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed