Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1,583) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th in Liga Alef (21 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
- Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Dec 26, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Beit Shean
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsTzeirey Tamra
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTira
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Dec 26, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsBeitar Nahariya