Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-6 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed played?
- Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Dec 19, 2026Beitar NahariyavsTira
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsIroni Nesher
- Dec 19, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt