Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Ironi Nesher: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Ironi Nesher the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Ironi Nesher?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (1,521) and Ironi Nesher (1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Ironi Nesher have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ironi Nesher win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher 1-1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Ironi Nesher sit 11th (29 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Ironi Nesher?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Nesher the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Ironi Nesher played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Ironi Nesher is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Dec 19, 2026Beitar NahariyavsTira
- Dec 19, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed