Match

Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tamra

Tzeirey TamraTzeirei Umm al-Fahm

The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Tzeirey Tamra (1,588) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).

Tzeirey Tamra win27 %
Draw24 %
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tamra have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tzeirey Tamra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home)0-2Liga Alef
Feb 22, 2026Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away)3-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tira(home)1-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home)2-4Liga Alef
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)1-3Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)3-0Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tzeirey Tamra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 12, 2025Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-1 Tzeirey TamraLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra on Dec 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tzeirey Tamra1.42.3310/1511/15
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm1.11.3310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm22868292530
12Tzeirey Tamra227312324724

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tzeirey Tamra.
Where and when is Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tzeirey Tamra and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

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