Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 25Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tamra
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Tzeirey Tamra (1,588) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tamra have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tzeirey Tamra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-1 Tzeirey Tamra | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Tamra on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
- Tzeirey Tamra vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Feb 20, 2027Ironi NeshervsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTira
- Feb 20, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Feb 20, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Feb 20, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsBeitar Nahariya